Hard Times for Donald Trump Administration
Donald Trump would be the president since some delayed decisions must be taken urgently in the US market.
That
was our expectation earlier.
Then
Donald Trump, a successful, wealthy business man has been chosen as
the President. deliciously, visually appealing president who would
take these tough decisions without thinking too much.
Donald
Trump sworn on January 20, 2017, he then officially became President
of the United States, followed by a ceremony at White House. He then
suspended the following trade agreements.
TTIP,
Transatlantic Trade & Investment Partnership
TPP,
Trans Pacific Partnership (trade agreement with Japan, China,
Australia and other Pacific countries).
NAFTA
to renegotiate with North America, namely Mexico Canada.
Thereafter,
China, Japan, the European Union exports to the United States, 35%
customs tax would be imposed at the US entrance,
A
physical wall will be constructed so that illegal immigrants from the
Mexican border can not cross. Unregistered 5-6 million illegal
foreigners will be deported, Muslims will be registered, and will be
monitored for their probable illegal activities if any. every
foreign activity will be closely inspected.
Syrians
refugees will be sent back.
Nationals
of Iraq, İran, Libya, Somalia, Syria and Yemen will not enter USA
either as refugees or as tourists.
For
Citizens of Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, such ban is not in question.
If a country does not want to take refugees or immigrants, nobody can
enforce it.
The
president's job is very hard in the USA. Every decision must be
approved by the House of Representatives, the Senate and even the
Supreme Court if necessary.
The
order for refugees by the President was dismissed by a federal judge
on a disrupted decision, appealed to the decision.
Donald
Trump used the term "so-called" definition for the judge,
the word stuck to himself, and the opponents began to call Trump as
"the so-called President."
In
the White House website, environmental pages have been removed. that
is to say, the public control is being reduced in environmental
issues, "Invest in fossil fired fuel based thermal power plants,
and you can pollute the environment as you want,"
That
means investors may continue their construction activities in
Keystone XL, Dakota Access gas Pipeline.
The
first day Trump met with rich businessmen, his talk was broadcast on
TV.
Trump
said he would increase employment within the United States.
Anyhow
employment is already very good,
unemployment
is at the lowest level in recent years, at 5%,
Who
will replace to the simple workmanship of the Chinese people? do you
need?
The
power in the hands of the US president is very small. The American
voter chooses the sheriff in his own town or province, or the city
he lives in, he elects the local the judge, local public prosecutor,
the mayor, and the chief educator. Intra-state governance is managed
locally, not from Washington. Administration is fully decentralized
in the USA.
What
will happen to the other economies when the US starts to raise the
Fed's interest rates? Donald Trump has very little power on Federal
Reserve on money issues.
Trump
seems to consume all the political gunpowder on the first day.
The
more gunpowder for future will not be available nearby.
Moreover
Trump administration broke up with media organizations.
The
American and world economies are not only made up of factories.
Donald
Trump's TV Show, real estate, hotel, concrete and cement-oriented
head is unable to perceive further developments"
Donald
Trump is taking steps to make them look cute just because he gets
votes from his uneducated lower middle class citizens.
You
can not keep his people voting for Donald Trump in a factory that
runs in a two-hour similar Chinese practice.
All
people who have a fair idea without sound knowledge.
The
poorly educated poor majority, who are finally tricked into cheating
money, will be US voters in the end, but the time will be too late.
Trump
says he will be going to put 35% tax on Chinese property.
Aren't
the Chinese free to reciprocate?
They
can put 40% tax on imported American goods.
Chinese
investors have US Treasury bills worth US $ 2 trillion.
They
have started to dispose them already.
The
best selling car in China is US production GM.
Chinese
also put in extra tax for the GM brand.
Who
will loose in this case?
The
history of the automobile workers' union of joint the US and
Canada is more than 100 years old.
Even
the authorized workers' union is the only one between the two
countries.
If
we cancel NAFTA, the first to sink are automobile manufacturing
facilities in the US.
Because
the US factories are buying engines from Canada, what will you put
in place?
The
Donald Trump team is very much a novice in politics, except for the
former generals who are appointed for national security and
defense.
Newly
appointed civilians do not know politics, diplomacy, public
administration,
They
do not have public experience.
They
are Unconventional individuals in the United States.
They
may be billionaires, but these newcomer politicians are still very
young.
They
got good money in the market, they have good luck.
They
benefit from the system's gaps, but they are not the well-known
ones. It was very clear that they were very novices, and that they
were going to the language of the USA media for the first time.
The
assigned civilizations are stepped one by one.
Trump
was not authorized.
The
racist hate speech advocating white supremacy is under serious
pressure.
The
sculptures of the soldiers of the southern commanders are
disappeared.
What
if Trump trade practices are imitated by other countries?
Trump
says, "America first."
The
extreme right-wing parties of Europe may say the same motto.
"Germany
first", "France first", "Netherlands first",
"Austria first".
Donald
Trump's decisions, their priorities are very important for the
world.
We
do not know how accurate the decisions are for US, but there may be
serious similar applications in our geography.
We
do not share the same political views with Donald Trump,
but
we have been saying some similar things for years.
Domestic
design, domestic engineering, domestic contracting, domestic
manufacturing, local assembly all are required to be done in energy
equipment design and supply, especially thermal power plant
construction.
The
construction of thermal power plants is not so difficult,
our
domestic companies have done in the past, now they can do it again.
If
we do not implement it, then we can not close our industrial trade
imbalance with China, Far East or other cheaper eastern European
products.
Last
year Turkey imported 23 billion US dollars from China and sold them
2 billion US dollars worth of goods. There is no such great
imbalance in bilateral trade relations.
Turkey
is very dependent on the US for defense. We receive US $
2.0-2.5 billion of weapons and ammunition each year from the United
States.
Last
year, US arms ammunition sales have been pending unofficially.
We
export US $ 8 billion in 2016 with US imports of US $ 9 billion.
Donald
Trump and his team need to get a good look at their thinking.
Commercial
domestic market protection ideas should be seriously considered. No
matter what political will it is, Trump's decisions need to be taken
seriously. It is not just growth we observe in the country's economy
by building residence hotels, by performing excavation of cement
piles of simple worked jobs.
In
any democratic country, governing political authority should give
prosperity, wealth, peace and happiness to the voters in order to be
reelected for sure.
---
Haluk
Direskeneli, is a graduate of METU Mechanical Engineering department
(1973). He worked in public, private enterprises, USA Turkish JV
companies (B&W, CSWI, AEP), in fabrication, basic and detail
design, marketing, sales and project management of thermal power
plants. He is currently working as freelance consultant/ energy
analyst with thermal power plants basic/ detail design software
expertise for private engineering companies, investors, universities
and research institutions. He is a member of ODTÜ Alumni and
Chamber of Turkish Mechanical Engineers Energy Working Group.
Ankara,
22 August 2017