Wednesday, April 22, 2020

After #Covid-19

# How will the world be after Covid-19?



We are at home these days, we have no other topic to talk about except Covid-19. All the news speaks only of Covid-19. Although global wrong policies are implemented, late and incomplete decisions are made and negative comments are made, we are experiencing formations that coincidentally correspond to the curve. Covid-19 sets the pandemic everywhere, pushing decision-makers in the direction it should be.

The hard power of the new generation F35s, S400s and large aircraft carriers is no longer necessary. Payments were postponed for construction tenders, highways, bridges, and fear of the epidemic. Limited resources were quickly directed to city hospitals, half-buildings were accelerated. Hospitals of Başakşehir City were rapidly opened on the Anatolian Head of Istanbul and on the European side. Arçelik Aselsan METU production ICU intensive care units mass production has accelerated, the health personnel needed by the new hospitals have been taken from the young staff of the old hospitals, family physicians and provincial physicians have been commissioned, and resources have been provided for the construction of Ankara Etlik city hospital. With the curfew on the weekend, the rate of infection spread was cut. The herd immunity advantage of the young population came into play.

All borders were closed, the epidemic in the southern immigrant vessels forced immigrants to return to Syria quickly. The USA's unpreparedness was shaking the whole system. When Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson was quarantined, the post remained to Rishi Altar, an Indian-born well-educated treasury minister of Indian origin.

In Russia, Vladimir Putin has just understood and learned the seriousness of the situation. Korona even defeated the unbreakable stubbornness of the Vatican and other religious institutions. Saudi people canceled all cross programs this year. They don't take anyone into sacred places. Because of the need of female medical personnel, they removed the necessity of covered sheets.

Angela Merkel in Germany brought the epidemic in Germany under control with her sensitivity. The number of casualties in Germany, which takes the outbreak forecast report of the 2012 Robert Koch Institute seriously and applies the necessary measures, is less than other countries. Germany, which makes the necessary investments in health issues and has high-capacity devices ready, is considered to be saved. Germany has loosened the epidemic rules a little nowadays, facilitating the entry of simple heavy bodily workers in the factories, easternEuropean young workers from the last 100 thousand healthy controls entered Germany. These are young people with better life expectancy who are not afraid of the epidemic, most will work in unskilled jobs in agricultural lands or sheltered health centers outdoors. The average age in Germany is 49, no young people do heavy work. Most German computers do office work. They work from home without going to the office.

Oil prices have fallen in the world, there is production, there is no demand, there is no place to store production, the producers have started to give money to the buyer in order to "buy and store." Big discounts are expected soon for natural gas prices indexed to oil prices.

Coal can no longer be extracted from underground mines. It's hard after that. Thermal power plants will remain idle. Manpowered wind, solar, hydro resources will gain importance. After Covid-19, we will return to fully renewable energy-focused sources. Investments will quickly flow to renewables.

Europeans canceled their holiday reservations, early booking reimbursements led hotel aircraft companies to bankruptcy. Restaurants, cafes, bars, closed spaces will take a long time to open. Nobody will go for a long time, even after opening. The planes were used only for emergency evacuation and healthcare transportation. Intercity passenger transportation is over, only food trucks work on highways. This epidemic will last at least 2-3 years with repeated mutations, eventually the world will be completely different and we will acquire new habits that are accustomed to living indoors.

The Covid-19 outbreak process continues. We finished the fourth week of being closed at home. There are optimistic political statements, but realistic academic interpretations say that this process will continue until the end of June and will continue for 1-2 years, with new waves that have mutated next year, even if it eases. The Spanish flu, in 1918, continued with more mutations in the years 1919-1920.

Closing our borders was a very important decision. Especially Iran, Iraq and Syria borders were very important in terms of stopping the epidemic. The entrance of people infected through Iran and the Middle East was very dangerous.

On the other hand, we hear that the epidemic has increased in Russia, Bulgaria, Greece and Georgia.

The existence of the outbreak is unlike the power of any combat weapon. In the epidemic of Covid-19, America's heavy new modern weapon power left no sense. Italy, Spain, England are not good at all. It will take time for them to survive.

There are 4000 specialist soldiers on the American USS Roosevelt aircraft carrier, located near the Pacific island of Guam, but 150 ships, including the captain, work almost as soon as 500 soldiers test positive for the epidemic.

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