Thursday, January 28, 2016

Donald Trump

Donald Trump, Republican Presidential Candidate 2016

Donald Trump is the GOP candidate in the upcoming 2016 US Presidential elections now. Donald Trump is clever, well educated businessman, very perceptive, and too selfish personality. He was born in 1946 in NewYork city. He entered the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. He got graduate degree in Economics. Donald Trump is a successful real estate tycoon. He has luxury hotels, prestigious business towers, golf courses, entertainment enterprises, TV stations and publishing companies. He even had Trump University on real estate education, however it is in fraud investigation.

Donald Trump has married three times. He has five children. He is Presbyterian. His monetary wealth is estimated to be more than US $ 4.5 billion. He has licensed "Trump Tower" concept in Istanbul. He had bankruptcy in his lifetime four times (Chapter 11) in the past. Over the years, his business practice is generally found not so ethical. If Donald Trump would be the next president in 2016 presidential elections, we are sure that the world will face a very interesting business style politics situation first of its kind not ever seen before.

US Political Analysts did not give any chance to late Ronald Reagan to be US president at the beginning. He surprised everyone and won the 1980 presidential elections, by beating Democratic President Jimmy Carter. During Jimmy Carter period, inflation figures were high, unemployment was high. Ronald Reagan had made happy not only his voters but all Americans in his 2-period 8-year tenure. He run economy successfully, he made peace with his rival super power Russians.

Under President Obama administration, latest US inflation rate is low less than 1.9%, US unemployment rate is low at less than 5%. Public spending is low. since US Military involvement in Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan are minimized. Economy is running smoothly. Is there any chance for Trump to win the presidential race in 2016? Who knows? Donald Trump is the clear frontrunner Republican candidate. Donald Trump says he will repel Mexicans, Muslims, newcomer immigrants. He will be unpredictable in foreign relations, in war efforts.
He says he will not hesitate to use military force when US interests are jeopardized. He will go war in case of any danger to US interests whether it would be in power dispute, or in energy resources.

On the other hand, he doesn't care climate change, nor global warming. He will continue policies to fire fossil fuel firing thermal power plants.

Donald Trump uses very simple and very abusive language in his debates or in his public speeches since he is tied for winning in any case by all means. Donald Trump is simplistic, demagogue, business opportunist, and too sarcastic toward his rivals. He is however with no ability to speak any foreign language other that his own mother tongue. Although with his limited information on the world affairs, in his latest speech on foreign relations, he used very simple and careful sentences on world around himself.

Donald Trump is well-educated business personality. He had never run any political post in his life time. He has no political experience in the past.

He does not drink. He fears alcohol because his older brother died of alcoholism at the age of 43. He is clever manipulator of the base impulses in the American electorate. Trump is a cynical manipulation of a largely ignorant voting public.

Donald Trump is willing to exploit the fears and prejudices of part of the electorate in a bid to gain the US presidency. Are we going to have much fun with Donald Trump? Shall we be sorry in the end?

GOP party is not so comfortable with his candidacy, and some of moderate GOP voters may be voting for Democrat candidate. For Donald Trump, everything is so simple. Nuclear North Korea is a Chinese problem. Syrian civil war is a Russian problem.

Your writer would be voting for Bernie Sanders for his social democrat solutions. However it is apparent that Bernie will not be chosen as the final Democratic candidate. So your writer feels that Hillary Clinton would be the next best choice for the presidency, not only for US voters but also for the world. However let us face the reality that Donald Trump is now a serious presidential contender for the next presidential elections in 2016.

We all wonder what Donald Trump's impact would be on our Middle East geography with so limited political and international experience. Turkey may face bitter relations with the US under Trump administration. We have uneasy relations with our Russian neighbors. We have difficult war in south border. Let us know this reality, get prepared and position accordingly.

Haluk Direskeneli, is a graduate of METU Mechanical Engineering department (1973). He worked in public, private enterprises, USA Turkish JV companies (B&W, CSWI, AEP), in fabrication, basic and detail design, marketing, sales and project management of thermal power plants. He is currently working as freelance consultant/ energy analyst with thermal power plants basic/ detail design software expertise for private engineering companies, investors, universities and research institutions. He is a member of ODTÜ Alumni and Chamber of Turkish Mechanical Engineers Energy Working Group.

Ankara, 09 May 2016


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